It's that dreaded time of year. The one where Morty sees an 'award post' and just hits 'back' on his browser tab.
I get it. This isn't for everyone, though the irony is, Mort has seen most of these movies and probably has a better insight than say................Mike.....who has seen probably none of these movies.
Actually, he told me he saw one, though I now do not remember which one.
Anyways, this is our 9th Annual Academy Award Guessing Game®
NINE!
I'd have to go back to see who is winning this so-called race, but I'm thinking I won't like the answer - so I'll just live, head buried in the sand, which resides in the land of MakeBelieve.
I probably say this every year, but this year seems the hardest. Especially in a few categories. Acting, not so much. It's not that I agree about the probable winners, but I know the writing on the wall when I see it. No, I'm stymied at best picture and director. Stupid Parasite, making this more complicated than I anticipated.
That said, if Mike is true to his word (and I think we all know he's not), I could run away with this thing.
By all accounts, the four major acting (well, I guess that would be all of them) awards are a given. I don't expect Mike's choices on these to be different than mine. But then, things get tricky.....not for everything (I think), but enough that it could cost me............or him.
Let's have at it, shall we?
Performance by an actor in a leading role nominees:
Antonio Banderas in PAIN AND GLORY
Leonardo DiCaprio in ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Adam Driver in MARRIAGE STORY
Joaquin Phoenix in JOKER
Jonathan Pryce in THE TWO POPES
It should be Banderas, but this isn't going to go his way tonight. Should I be wrong and lose this contest due to it, I would be fine with the outcome - Antonio's and mine. I think we can all agree to be happy that Adam Sandler doesn't appear anywhere on this list.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role nominees:
Tom Hanks in A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD
Anthony Hopkins in THE TWO POPES
Al Pacino in THE IRISHMAN
Joe Pesci in THE IRISHMAN
Brad Pitt in ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
I'm not happy with any of these options - other than maybe Hopkins, whom I think should win. But it looks like it will be Pitt. Only two people I know liked his movie, but that's still two more than who saw Hanks play Rodgers
Performance by an actress in a leading role nominees:
Cynthia Erivo in HARRIET
Scarlett Johansson in MARRIAGE STORY
Saoirse Ronan in LITTLE WOMEN
Charlize Theron in BOMBSHELL
Renée Zellweger in JUDY
Honestly, the worst category of the evening - and I'm throwing hair and make-up in there. They had some exclusions - no, not you JLo(w) - but they might just give it to Johansson. The academy loves loves loves portrayals of dead celebrities - I mean, how else do you explain Jamie Foxx having one? But I really don't want it to be Zellweger, but you know it's gonna be.
Performance by an actress in a supporting role nominees:
Kathy Bates in RICHARD JEWELL
Laura Dern in MARRIAGE STORY
Scarlett Johansson in JOJO RABBIT
Florence Pugh in LITTLE WOMEN
Margot Robbie in BOMBSHELL
Possible Johansson could upset this, as she won't get (I don't think) the lead award. But Dern was so smarmy in her role, as I said before, I disliked her from the word 'go', so she did her job.
Best animated feature film of the year nominees:
HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD
Dean DeBlois, Bradford Lewis and Bonnie Arnold
I LOST MY BODY
Jérémy Clapin and Marc du Pontavice
KLAUS
Sergio Pablos, Jinko Gotoh and Marisa Román
MISSING LINK
Chris Butler, Arianne Sutner and Travis Knight
TOY STORY 4
Josh Cooley, Mark Nielsen and Jonas Rivera
Do you really want to bet against Pixar ?
Achievement in cinematography nominees:
THE IRISHMAN
Rodrigo Prieto
JOKER
Lawrence Sher
THE LIGHTHOUSE
Jarin Blaschke
1917
Roger Deakins
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Robert Richardson
Hands down - just for the technical aspect. That said, the Lighthouse had a cool look to it.
Achievement in costume design nominees:
THE IRISHMAN
Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson
JOJO RABBIT
Mayes C. Rubeo
JOKER
Mark Bridges
LITTLE WOMEN
Jacqueline Durran
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Arianne Phillips
Throw the girls a bone already.
Achievement in directing nominees:
THE IRISHMAN
Martin Scorsese
JOKER
Todd Phillips
1917
Sam Mendes
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Quentin Tarantino
PARASITE
Bong Joon Ho
This is one of the two that could do me in. It's going to be my selection or Joon Ho. Either are deserving. I'd be surprised as shit if it were Scorsese or Tarantino.
Best documentary feature nominees:
AMERICAN FACTORY
Steven Bognar, Julia Reichert and Jeff Reichert
THE CAVE
Feras Fayyad, Kirstine Barfod and Sigrid Dyekjær
THE EDGE OF DEMOCRACY
Petra Costa, Joanna Natasegara, Shane Boris and Tiago Pavan
FOR SAMA
Waad al-Kateab and Edward Watts
HONEYLAND
Ljubo Stefanov, Tamara Kotevska and Atanas Georgiev
It's about bees........and I hear we need them to live. So.........sure.
Best documentary short subject nominees:
IN THE ABSENCE
Yi Seung-Jun and Gary Byung-Seok Kam
LEARNING TO SKATEBOARD IN A WARZONE (IF YOU’RE A GIRL)
Carol Dysinger and Elena Andreicheva
LIFE OVERTAKES ME
John Haptas and Kristine Samuelson
ST. LOUIS SUPERMAN
Smriti Mundhra and Sami Khan
WALK RUN CHA-CHA
Laura Nix and Colette Sandstedt
It seems like skateboarding girls would scare me, so I don't dare NOT give them the nod.
Achievement in film editing nominees:
FORD V FERRARI
Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland
THE IRISHMAN
Thelma Schoonmaker
JOJO RABBIT
Tom Eagles
JOKER
Jeff Groth
PARASITE
Yang Jinmo
Cut to Damon........then cut to Bale.......and back......now to the car.......now to the other car....and back again........and..........
Best international feature film of the year nominees:
CORPUS CHRISTI
Poland
Directed by Jan Komasa
HONEYLAND
North Macedonia
Directed by Ljubo Stefanov and Tamara Kotevksa
LES MISÉRABLES
France
Directed by Ladj Ly
PAIN AND GLORY
Spain
Directed by Pedro Almodóvar
PARASITE
South Korea
Directed by Bong Joon Ho
While I could be wrong on Best Pic, and if Parasite wins that, it could also possibly pick up Foreign Film too. Again, I liked it, but I LOVED Pain and Glory. ...and again, I'd be happy to lose the entire contest here, if Almodóvar picked up this prize.
Achievement in makeup and hairstyling nominees:
BOMBSHELL
Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan and Vivian Baker
JOKER
Nicki Ledermann and Kay Georgiou
JUDY
Jeremy Woodhead
MALEFICENT: MISTRESS OF EVIL
Paul Gooch, Arjen Tuiten and David White
1917
Naomi Donne, Tristan Versluis and Rebecca Cole
I'm going on record saying that the world doesn't need two Megan Kellys. That said, whichever of these three made up Charlize Theron deserves the award for that spot on transformation.
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score) nominees:
JOKER
Hildur Guðnadóttir
LITTLE WOMEN
Alexandre Desplat
MARRIAGE STORY
Randy Newman
1917
Thomas Newman
STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER
John Williams
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song) nominees:
"I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away" from TOY STORY 4
Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
"(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again" from ROCKETMAN
Music by Elton John
Lyric by Bernie Taupin
"I'm Standing With You" from BREAKTHROUGH
Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
"Into The Unknown" from FROZEN II
Music and Lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
"Stand Up" from HARRIET
Music and Lyric by Joshuah Brian Campbell and Cynthia Erivo
Oh you know it's gonna be this big old queen, so he can finally have an Oscar at her Oscar party.
Best motion picture of the year nominees:
FORD V FERRARI
Peter Chernin, Jenno Topping and James Mangold, Producers
THE IRISHMAN
Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal and Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Producers
JOJO RABBIT
Carthew Neal and Taika Waititi, Producers
JOKER
Todd Phillips, Bradley Cooper and Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Producers
LITTLE WOMEN
Amy Pascal, Producer
MARRIAGE STORY
Noah Baumbach and David Heyman, Producers
1917
Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris, Jayne-Ann Tenggren and Callum McDougall, Producers
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
David Heyman, Shannon McIntosh and Quentin Tarantino, Producers
PARASITE
Kwak Sin Ae and Bong Joon Ho, Producers
My other possible downfall category. Again, it's coming down to 1917 or Parasite. I'm taking a calculated guess, like Roma last year - the academy will play it safe since they can give Parasite the best foreign film prize.
Achievement in production design nominees:
THE IRISHMAN
Production Design: Bob Shaw
Set Decoration: Regina Graves
JOJO RABBIT
Production Design: Ra Vincent
Set Decoration: Nora Sopková
1917
Production Design: Dennis Gassner
Set Decoration: Lee Sandales
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Production Design: Barbara Ling
Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh
PARASITE
Production Design: Lee Ha Jun
Set Decoration: Cho Won Woo
It can't be easy to make LA look 1969 again. But I said something similar a few years ago with Carol and lost my shirt on that one.
Best animated short film nominees:
DCERA (DAUGHTER)
Daria Kashcheeva
HAIR LOVE
Matthew A. Cherry and Karen Rupert Toliver
KITBULL
Rosana Sullivan and Kathryn Hendrickson
MEMORABLE
Bruno Collet and Jean-François Le Corre
SISTER
Siqi Song
....because both Mike and I are hair challenged.......though he's in denial.
Best live action short film nominees:
BROTHERHOOD
Meryam Joobeur and Maria Gracia Turgeon
NEFTA FOOTBALL CLUB
Yves Piat and Damien Megherbi
THE NEIGHBORS’ WINDOW
Marshall Curry
SARIA
Bryan Buckley and Matt Lefebvre
A SISTER
Delphine Girard
This is not an educated guess. It's just a guess.
Achievement in sound editing nominees:
FORD V FERRARI
Donald Sylvester
JOKER
Alan Robert Murray
1917
Oliver Tarney and Rachael Tate
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Wylie Stateman
STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER
Matthew Wood and David Acord
I'm going out on a limb with this one. Vroom vrooom!
Achievement in sound mixing nominees:
AD ASTRA
Gary Rydstrom, Tom Johnson and Mark Ulano
FORD V FERRARI
Paul Massey, David Giammarco and Steven A. Morrow
JOKER
Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Tod Maitland
1917
Mark Taylor and Stuart Wilson
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Michael Minkler, Christian P. Minkler and Mark Ulano
...and then swinging back to safe territory with this choice.
Achievement in visual effects nominees:
AVENGERS: ENDGAME
Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken and Dan Sudick
THE IRISHMAN
Pablo Helman, Leandro Estebecorena, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser and Stephane Grabli
THE LION KING
Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Elliot Newman
1917
Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler and Dominic Tuohy
STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER
Roger Guyett, Neal Scanlan, Patrick Tubach and Dominic Tuohy
I think we all know it won't be the Irishman, but with al the others so deep into CGI, you'd think it wouldn't be one of the two that don't look it - which is why it will go to my choice.
Adapted screenplay nominees:
THE IRISHMAN
Screenplay by Steven Zaillian
JOJO RABBIT
Screenplay by Taika Waititi
JOKER
Written by Todd Phillips & Scott Silver
LITTLE WOMEN
Written for the screen by Greta Gerwig
THE TWO POPES
Written by Anthony McCarten
I want Jojo to win something! I thought Two Popes was good, if not all fiction. And Little Women? Everyone's whining of Gerwig not getting a director nod. Should she want one, maybe next time not do a movie that has been done 14 times already. The academy might give it to her, but it's purely consolation. I have only seen previews for the Irishman, but correct me if I'm wrong - it's GoodFellas / Casino / Godfather with Italians playing Irish guys - right?
Original screenplay nominees:
KNIVES OUT
Written by Rian Johnson
MARRIAGE STORY
Written by Noah Baumbach
1917
Written by Sam Mendes & Krysty Wilson-Cairns
ONCE UPON A TIME...IN HOLLYWOOD
Written by Quentin Tarantino
PARASITE
Screenplay by Bong Joon Ho, Han Jin Won
Story by Bong Joon Ho
Sorry Sam, 1917 was a good movie, and while not adapted, the story itself was hardly original. Tarantino has two screenplay awards, he won't get three. Knives Out could pull an upset, but I don't think so. Parasite is the most original......by far.
So, I'd like to thank the Academy for how few digs I took at my competitor in the above section. I should get an award for that. Maybe two. I dare say, our award chat will bring some snipes (from him about me) and I'll just have to be the mature one here.
But stop back on Tuesday for the recap. I know you're all dying to know. Or perhaps, just dying.
We will see how this goes.
Song by: R.E.M.
4 comments:
I can see that this year the likely winners in most categories will be in a high proportion of films I haven't seen, nor are likely to see. That's just the way it goes, I guess.
As at now I'm still waiting to see if 'Cats' did, in fact, win the Razzie for best-worst film which I think we can pretty well bank on. Sir Andrew L-W will doubtlessly be fuming that he ever allowed it to be filmed, at least in the way it was.
I agree, from those that I've seen, that Banderas should carry the trophy for best actor, but I also think that he won't get it.
If my memory serves, I was trounced during last month’s Golden Globes awards ceremony, picking a measly 4 or 5 categories correctly? The shame. The SHAME. So there is plenty riding on this evening’s broadcast. My fragile ego, namely. But hey, it’s all just fun and games. I don’t know why Blobby takes this so seriously and is so mean about things. Just his nature, I supposed.
After countless hours of research and late-night conversations with my sources, I am pleased to submit the following list of winners. May the best man win.
Hey what time do the Oscars start out there in your neck of the woods, Blobby?
Performance by an actor in a leading role nominees: Joaquin Phoenix.
Haven’t seen it, not planning on seeing it. From the previews alone, it looks too dark and violent. Real life is dark enough these days.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role nominees: All the money is on Brad, just so the producers can swoop their camera at Jennifer Aniston’s face during his acceptance speech. Let it go, people. Let it go.
Performance by an actress in a leading role nominees: Renee Zellweger. Hey, at least they’re not gonna give this one to Little Women. Let’s find some solace in that.
Performance by an actress in a supporting role nominees: Laura Dern. I watched Marriage Story until just after Laura Dern’s first scene, and then realized that I didn’t care about any of the characters so i turned it off. Or more honestly, probably flippped channels over to The Great British Baking Show. Might as well learning something if I’m gonna park myself in front of the TV.
Best animated feature film of the year nominees: I’ll go with Klaus, even though I think it’s wrong to make an animated feature out of the story of the rich Newport, Rhode Island socialite who was convicted and later acquitted of trying to kill his wife. Like I need a cartoon about this? Wait. What’s that? Oh, this is actually a Spanish-language film about Santa Claus? Damn. Let’s still go with that. And yes, I really want to bet against Pixar.
Achievement in cinematography nominees: 1917.
Achievement in costume design nominees: I would rather poke my eyes out with a stick than see Little Women take home any gold tonight. But this is a competition, and I’m determined to win, so I’ll go with this sappy period piece. Chicks, man….
Achievement in directing nominees. My man Sam for 1917.
Best documentary feature nominees: I’ll stand behind American Factory for the upset.
Best documentary short subject nominees: I’d pay to see Blobby chased down by a swarm of skateboarding girls (I don’t want them to hurt him in any way, just steal his lunch money). But i digress. In this category, I’m picking In the Absence.
Achievement in film editing nominees: Sounds like a movie i’ll never see. But i’ll follow Blobby’s lead on Ford V Ferrari for the win.
Best international feature film of the year nominees. Parasite. All the kids are talking about it.
Achievement in makeup and hairstyling nominees: Bombshell. It would be funny if they had made up Megan Kelly in blackface for this movie. Because as she said, what’s the big deal?
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score) nominees: 1917.
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song) nominees: I’m Gonna Love Me Again. Haha this one make me laugh. I can already the texts coming my way when Sir Elton and his hair pick up this award.
Best motion picture of the year nominees: 1917. So many choices here. And I saw 2 of them. (Well, 2 1/4 if you count the few minutes I endured Marriage Story). i agree with Blobby (cue the jaws dropping) that Parasite will win best foreign film, so it clears the path for Sam Mendes.
Achievement in production design nominees: Seems like i should have gone first here, because it looks like i’m just copying blobby on this one. And while he is a fountain of Hollywood inside knowledge, it just hurts sometimes. Anywhoo— it’s gonna be Once Upon a Time.
Best animated short film nominees: See comment above. Hair Love.
Best live action short film nominees: Here’s where it gets interesting. In honor of the hours that Blobby spends there every day, i’m going with The Neighbor’s Window.
Achievement in sound editing nominees: Hello Blobby? Did you see 1917? Or more importantly, did you HEAR 1917? A dollar side bet says this one will go to 1917.
Achievement in sound mixing nominees: 1917. Such a daring choice.
Achievement in visual effects nominees: OK, here’s my swing vote. I’m going with The Lion King. There. I’ve done it.
Adapted screenplay nominees: JoJo Rabbit. Cuz Blobby says so. And i’m just a little shook with this quote from Blobby: “I thought Two Popes was good.”
Original screenplay nominees: Parasite all the way!
I always for you to win on this
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